CTO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTO - CTO Realty Growth, Inc.
$17.77
0.24 (1.37%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTO is currently trading at $17.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.79 to $18.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 120.9) is in line with its historical norms (124.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.80 (+18.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$17.79 -
$18.38
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.80)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.79 -
$18.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.54
(3.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.26
Resistance Level
$18.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
120.90
Wall Street Target
$20.80
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.4%
Profit Margin
-22.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
120.9 vs 124.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.22
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$17.06
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 121→124)
$17.53
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 120.9 to 124.2
Stabilization Target:
$18.01
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Lisa Vorakoun
BUY
750 shares
2025-09-12
Daniel Earl Smith
BUY
1000 shares
2025-09-11
John P Albright
BUY
4200 shares
2025-09-11
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Advanced CTO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTO price and gamma walls.
