EQT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EQT - EQT CORP

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$57.45
1.23 (2.19%) ▲
5d: +1.77%
30d: -1.76%
90d: -0.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.86
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.27
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EQT is currently trading at $57.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.54 to $59.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 490.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EQT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $55.11, while resistance sits at $59.41.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $56.54 - $59.06
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($70.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.54 - $59.06
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $55.11
Resistance Level $59.41
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.14
Wall Street Target $70.00 (+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 490.0%
Profit Margin 35.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.1 vs 12.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.36 (-2%)
2-Year Target $55.29 (-4%)
3-Year Target $54.24 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $57.17 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: -1.2%) $100.78 (+75%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: -1.2%) $55.38 (-4%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: -1.2%) $47.07 (-18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case $55.51 (-3%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case $50.47 (-12%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case $38.23 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 12.8
Stabilization Target: $60.55 (+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sarah Fenton SELL 4876 shares 2026-03-16
Lesley Evancho SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-03
Todd James SELL 32514 shares 2026-02-23

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