EQT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EQT - EQT CORP

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$52.61
0.13 (0.25%) ▲
5d: +1.86%
30d: -3.79%
90d: -13.88%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 24d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 4.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 490% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.90
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.40
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EQT is currently trading at $52.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.36 to $54.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 490.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EQT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: EQT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.40 (+31.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $51.36 - $54.57
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 31.9% below Wall St target ($69.40)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $51.36 - $54.57
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.28
Resistance Level $56.12
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.23
Wall Street Target $69.40 (+31.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 490.0%
Profit Margin 35.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.2 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $50.72 (-4%)
2-Year Target $48.89 (-7%)
3-Year Target $47.13 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→13) $52.47 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.2%) $112.11 (+113%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 3.2%) $57.79 (+10%)
Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: 3.2%) $49.12 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case $51.33 (-2%)
Analyst growth -11.1%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case $46.66 (-11%)
Market implied -11.1%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case $35.69 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $58.57 (+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.3%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sarah Fenton SELL 4876 shares 2026-03-16
Lesley Evancho SELL 20000 shares 2026-03-03
Todd James SELL 32514 shares 2026-02-23

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Advanced EQT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQT price and gamma walls.

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