CVGW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CVGW - Calavo Growers Inc
$25.44
0.40 (1.60%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CVGW trades at premium valuation expecting 8.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CVGW trades at premium valuation expecting 8.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.49
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CVGW is currently trading at $25.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.43 to $25.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.21, while resistance sits at $27.54.
Market Sentiment: CVGW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.21, while resistance sits at $27.54.
Market Sentiment: CVGW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$21.43 -
$25.15
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CVGW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($27.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.4% growth which is achievable
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.43 -
$25.15
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.90
(7.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.22
Resistance Level
$27.54
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.65
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.7%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.14
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$29.42
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$31.89
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.2%)
$39.25
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 3.2%)
$27.54
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 3.2%)
$21.65
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case
$39.43
(+55%)
Analyst growth 44.1%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$35.85
(+41%)
Market implied 44.1%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$16.91
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CVGW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CVGW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CVGW price and gamma walls.
