Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.14
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
Valuation Analysis: SYY is currently trading at $72.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.78 to $75.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SYY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.20 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.78 -
$75.23
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($86.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.78 -
$75.23
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level$71.58
Resistance Level$74.30
Current TrendStrong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)14.72
Wall Street Target
$86.20
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)-13.5%
Profit Margin2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 15.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.30
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$69.59
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$67.92
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$72.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.1%)
$138.35
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 8.1%)
$92.39
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$78.53
(+8%)
📈Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.60
Bull Case
$110.99
(+52%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$100.90
(+38%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$49.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$78.42
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
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Sysco is the largest US foodservice distributor with 17% share of the highly fragmented $370 billion domestic market. It distributes roughly 500,000 food and nonfood products to restaurants (60% of fiscal 2025 revenue), education and government buildings (8%), healthcare facilities (8%), travel and leisure (7%), and other locations (17%) where individuals consume away-from-home meals. In fiscal 2025, 70% of the firm's revenue was derived from its US foodservice operations, while its international (18%), quick-service logistics (10%), and other (2%) segments contributed the rest.