CXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CXT - Crane NXT, Co.
$38.34
0.13 (0.34%)
▲
5d:
-13.8%
30d:
-17.37%
90d:
-28.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CXT is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: CXT is down 13.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.85
Based on 7.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.99
12.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CXT is currently trading at $38.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.88 to $46.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CXT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.88 -
$46.08
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.3% below Wall St target ($68.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.88 -
$46.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.19
Resistance Level
$46.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.04
Wall Street Target
$68.50
(+79.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.0%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.19
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$32.41
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$29.85
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$38.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.4%)
$145.04
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 11.4%)
$52.82
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 11.4%)
$44.90
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$87.54
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$79.58
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$27.06
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$48.96
(+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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