DDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDL - Dingdong (Cayman) Limited American Depositary Shares (each two representing three Ordinary Shares)
$2.86
-0.02 (-0.69%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.44
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.38
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDL is currently trading at $2.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.64 to $2.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.4) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.55, while resistance sits at $2.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.55, while resistance sits at $2.98.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$2.64 -
$2.92
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($2.59)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 1.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.64 -
$2.92
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.55
Resistance Level
$2.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.41
Wall Street Target
$2.59
(-10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.90
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$2.92
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$2.94
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.93
(+2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.8%)
$86.51
(+2904%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 23.8%)
$5.46
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 23.8%)
$4.64
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$3.81
(+32%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$3.46
(+20%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$1.18
(-59%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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