DDOG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDOG - Datadog, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$129.32
1.14 (0.89%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
10d
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2 traders called DDOG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDOG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DDOG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.69
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.18
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDOG is currently trading at $129.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.68 to $139.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 54.8) is in line with its historical norms (59.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDOG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.82, while resistance sits at $143.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.32 (+53.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDOG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.82, while resistance sits at $143.39.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.32 (+53.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$124.68 -
$139.17
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.9% below Wall St target ($197.32)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$124.68 -
$139.17
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.82
Resistance Level
$143.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
54.76
Wall Street Target
$197.32
(+53.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
54.8 vs 59.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$121.60
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$118.44
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 55→59)
$128.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 54.8, Growth: 15.9%)
$199.49
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.9%)
$81.24
(-37%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.9%)
$69.06
(-46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (55x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 56.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.27
Bull Case
$154.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 59.3
Base Case
$128.18
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 56.5
Bear Case
$98.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 50.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 54.8 to 59.2
Stabilization Target:
$138.58
(+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.1%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDOG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Olivier Pomel
SELL
11195 shares
2025-10-22
Michael James Callahan
SELL
8333 shares
2025-10-14
Shardul Shah
SELL
7916 shares
2025-10-13
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DDOG price and gamma walls.
