DFIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DFIN - Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.
$38.55
-0.29 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-10.01%
30d:
-24.04%
90d:
-1.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DFIN is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DFIN is down 10.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.35
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.78
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DFIN is currently trading at $38.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.20 to $52.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.3) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DFIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+63.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DFIN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+63.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.20 -
$52.26
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.4% below Wall St target ($63.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.20 -
$52.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.16
Resistance Level
$51.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.32
Wall Street Target
$63.00
(+63.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$31.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$28.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$38.75
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$156.72
(+307%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 10.5%)
$52.01
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$44.21
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$85.49
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$77.72
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case
$26.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$53.16
(+37.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DFIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric J Johnson
SELL
20280 shares
2026-03-06
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