DIOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIOD - Diodes Inc
$100.94
-2.71 (-2.61%)
▼
5d:
-9.4%
30d:
+7.44%
90d:
+42.03%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
DIOD is down 9.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-07-17 with 67 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DIOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DIOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$235.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.02
30.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIOD is currently trading at $100.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.54 to $109.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.8) compared to its historical average (24.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.53, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.50 (+24.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $97.53, while resistance sits at $117.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.50 (+24.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$86.54 -
$109.42
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DIOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.9% below Wall St target ($129.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.54 -
$109.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.95
(8.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.53
Resistance Level
$117.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.77
Wall Street Target
$129.50
(+24.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 24.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$93.54
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$88.87
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$103.53
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 83.8%)
$371.18
(+258%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 83.8%)
$349.82
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 83.8%)
$297.35
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 12.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.31
Bull Case
$125.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$103.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$79.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 24.2
Stabilization Target:
$120.76
(+16.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Keh Shew Lu
SELL
111000 shares
2026-02-20
Brett R Whitmire
SELL
830 shares
2026-02-03
Emily Yang
SELL
950 shares
2026-02-03
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Advanced DIOD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIOD price and gamma walls.
