DOCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOCU - DocuSign, Inc. Common Stock
$45.77
-0.25 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+7.8%
30d:
-16.93%
90d:
-4.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DOCU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DOCU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.35
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOCU is currently trading at $45.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.89 to $50.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCU is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOCU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.33 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCU is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DOCU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.33 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.89 -
$50.58
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($59.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.89 -
$50.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.37
Resistance Level
$46.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.12
Wall Street Target
$59.33
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.57
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$41.48
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$39.49
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$45.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.8%)
$115.42
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$58.93
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.8%)
$50.09
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$101.24
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$92.04
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.9
Bear Case
$31.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$53.09
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOCU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James P Shaughnessy
SELL
12000 shares
2026-04-01
Allan C Thygesen
SELL
26250 shares
2026-04-01
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SELL
6000 shares
2026-04-01
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