DOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOV - Dover Corporation
$224.14
-2.09 (-0.92%)
▼
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
+8.49%
90d:
+8.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
DOV is up 4.4% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $210 2026-05-15 with 1,208 OI. Put ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.55
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $224.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $207.71 to $219.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $212.04, while resistance sits at $232.71.
Market Sentiment: DOV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $212.04, while resistance sits at $232.71.
Market Sentiment: DOV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $247.67 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$207.71 -
$219.23
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($247.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$207.71 -
$219.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$212.04
Resistance Level
$232.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.34
Wall Street Target
$247.67
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Profit Margin
13.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$226.16
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$228.19
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$230.25
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$223.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$308.69
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$289.74
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$246.28
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.01
Bull Case
$359.98
(+61%)
Analyst growth 44.7%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$327.25
(+46%)
Market implied 44.7%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$153.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 3:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard J Tobin
SELL
76997 shares
2026-02-19
Ivonne M Cabrera
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-17
Girish Juneja
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-11
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Advanced DOV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOV price and gamma walls.
