DSGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DSGR - Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. Common Stock
$27.40
-0.09 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-0.51%
30d:
-1.08%
90d:
-11.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DSGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.14
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DSGR is currently trading at $27.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.84 to $27.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DSGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DSGR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+29.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$26.84 -
$27.59
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($35.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.84 -
$27.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.60
Resistance Level
$28.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.28
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$27.24
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$27.15
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$27.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.7%)
$52.90
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$39.25
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$33.36
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.44
Bull Case
$33.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$27.40
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$20.96
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$27.61
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DSGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert Zamarripa
BUY
14000 shares
2026-03-10
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