DX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DX - Dynex Capital, Inc.
$13.88
-0.69 (-4.74%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
2d
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1 traders called DX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.01
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DX is currently trading at $13.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.88 to $14.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DX is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DX is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.88 -
$14.48
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.95)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.88 -
$14.48
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$14.93
Current Trend
Support Break
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$14.95
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
234.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.6%
Profit Margin
85.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.96
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$15.37
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$15.78
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.8%)
$45.37
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.8%)
$22.05
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 14.8%)
$18.74
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$9.46
(-35%)
Analyst growth -41.7%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$8.60
(-41%)
Market implied -41.7%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$10.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert S Colligan
BUY
4200 shares
2025-09-26
Smriti Laxman Popenoe
BUY
4260 shares
2025-09-26
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