ECG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECG - Everus Construction Group, Inc.
$89.56
1.07 (1.21%)
▲
5d:
-2.23%
30d:
+4.68%
90d:
-0.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ECG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.84
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.03
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECG is currently trading at $89.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.01 to $92.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.20 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ECG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.20 (+17.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$87.01 -
$92.28
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$87.01 -
$92.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.66
Resistance Level
$96.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.31
Wall Street Target
$104.20
(+17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.5%
Profit Margin
5.2%
PE vs Historical
22.3 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.49
(0%)
2-Year Target
$88.49
(0%)
3-Year Target
$88.49
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$114.28
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$114.25
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.9%)
$97.11
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.54
Bull Case
$115.57
(+31%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 29.1
Base Case
$105.06
(+19%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$63.75
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 12:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ECG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECG price and gamma walls.
