EME Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EME - EMCOR Group, Inc.
$756.30
-3.25 (-0.43%)
▼
5d:
+4.13%
30d:
+2.08%
90d:
+23.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
25d
Smart Money Distribution
EME is up 4.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $630 2026-05-15 with 86 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EME shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EME shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1107.96
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$687.96
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EME is currently trading at $756.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $712.70 to $767.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.0) is in line with its historical norms (24.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EME is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $775.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $869.29 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EME is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $775.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EME has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $869.29 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$712.70 -
$767.38
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
14th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($869.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$712.70 -
$767.38
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$47.80
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$695.55
Resistance Level
$775.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.96
Wall Street Target
$869.29
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.0%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 24.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$753.27
(0%)
2-Year Target
$750.26
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$747.26
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
$754.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 11.5%)
$1048.16
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$900.02
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$765.01
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $28.20
Bull Case
$892.73
(+20%)
Analyst growth 12.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$811.57
(+9%)
Market implied 12.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$492.95
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 24.2
Stabilization Target:
$764.01
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EME showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony Guzzi
SELL
36000 shares
2026-03-05
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-27
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-04
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Advanced EME Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EME price and gamma walls.
