ESCA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESCA - Escalade Inc
$14.54
0.28 (1.96%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESCA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ESCA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.25
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESCA is currently trading at $14.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.57 to $14.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESCA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESCA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$13.57 -
$14.27
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
52th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ESCA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 52th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.57 -
$14.27
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.12
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.77
Resistance Level
$14.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.31
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.89
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.25
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$15.61
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$23.33
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 3.3%)
$16.01
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 3.3%)
$13.61
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$14.32
(-2%)
Analyst growth 3.3%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$13.02
(-10%)
Market implied 3.3%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$8.57
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESCA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Fenton Baalmann …
SELL
4800 shares
2025-09-15
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Advanced ESCA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESCA price and gamma walls.
