ESOA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ESOA - Energy Services of America Corporation Common Stock

WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
$9.01
-0.25 (-2.70%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ESOA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.37
13.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ESOA is currently trading at $9.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.09 to $8.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ESOA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.56, while resistance sits at $9.61.

Market Sentiment: ESOA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.00 (+126.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $8.09 - $8.97
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 126.8% below Wall St target ($21.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 20.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $8.09 - $8.97
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.56
Resistance Level $9.61
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.47
Wall Street Target $21.00 (+126.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.7%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.5% premium
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 13.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.49 (+3%)
2-Year Target $9.73 (+5%)
3-Year Target $9.97 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $9.24 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 326.7%) $48.17 (+420%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 326.7%) $31.25 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.3, Growth: 326.7%) $26.56 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.37
Bull Case $10.88 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case $9.01 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case $6.89 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced ESOA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESOA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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