ETSY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ETSY - Etsy, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$59.92
1.85 (3.19%) ▲
5d: +0.1%
30d: -3.2%
90d: +35.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.8/10

Get Alerted When ETSY Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ETSY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.19
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.18
10.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ETSY is currently trading at $59.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.13 to $65.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ETSY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.29, while resistance sits at $66.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.72 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $56.13 - $65.07
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($71.72)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.13 - $65.07
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $56.29
Resistance Level $66.51
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.73
Wall Street Target $71.72 (+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -7.1%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.7 vs 18.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $53.54 (-8%)
2-Year Target $49.36 (-15%)
3-Year Target $45.51 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→19) $58.08 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.8%) $121.60 (+109%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 11.8%) $81.18 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 12.5, Growth: 11.8%) $69.00 (+19%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61
Bull Case $96.57 (+66%)
Analyst growth 51.0%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case $87.79 (+51%)
Market implied 51.0%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case $39.53 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 18.8
Stabilization Target: $74.10 (+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Josh Silverman SELL 70000 shares 2026-04-21
Josh Silverman SELL 30369 shares 2026-04-20
Josh Silverman SELL 24296 shares 2026-04-16

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ETSY.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Internet Retail Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Internet Retail by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
STRONG BUY
40 analysts
$191 62 BUY
JD
JD.com Inc Adr
STRONG BUY
38 analysts
$41 61 BUY
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc
STRONG BUY
70 analysts
$312 54 HOLD
SE
Sea Ltd
STRONG BUY
35 analysts
$140 60 HOLD
DASH
DoorDash, Inc. Class A C…
BUY
41 analysts
$246 59 HOLD

Advanced ETSY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ETSY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ETSY

ETSY Technical Chart ETSY Price Prediction ETSY Earnings Date ETSY Investment Advisor ETSY Fair Price Analyzer ETSY Options Advisor ETSY Options Chain ETSY Options Analysis ETSY Competitors
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals