EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$11.99
0.30 (2.57%)
▲
5d:
-0.17%
30d:
+5.55%
90d:
-1.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EVCM is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.53
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $11.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.30 to $12.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.10, while resistance sits at $12.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.10, while resistance sits at $12.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.03
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.30 -
$12.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.10
Resistance Level
$12.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.52
Wall Street Target
$10.93
(-8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.00
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$12.01
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$12.03
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.01
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 11.9%)
$22.29
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.9%)
$16.78
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 11.9%)
$14.26
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.23 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.74
Bull Case
$14.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$11.99
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$9.17
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
1596 shares
2026-04-16
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5604 shares
2026-04-15
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
12000 shares
2026-04-14
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