EVER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVER - EverQuote, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$19.07
-3.43 (-15.24%)
▼
5d:
-17.73%
30d:
-25.01%
90d:
-11.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVER is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVER is down 17.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.04
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.52
7.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVER is currently trading at $19.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.84 to $26.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 61.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVER is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.20 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVER is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 15.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.20 (+79.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$22.84 -
$26.34
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-15.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 79.3% below Wall St target ($34.20)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.84 -
$26.34
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.60
Resistance Level
$25.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.64
Wall Street Target
$34.20
(+79.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
61.3%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.33
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$15.76
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$14.32
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$19.13
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$67.63
(+255%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 6.7%)
$23.16
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 6.7%)
$19.69
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$43.29
(+92%)
Analyst growth 73.4%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$39.36
(+75%)
Market implied 73.4%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$15.44
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.47
(+33.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.5%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jayme Mendal
SELL
14360 shares
2025-10-20
John L Shields
SELL
2000 shares
2025-10-13
George R Neble
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671 shares
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