EXPO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXPO - Exponent Inc
$71.87
0.38 (0.53%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXPO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXPO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.47
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXPO is currently trading at $71.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.42 to $74.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.0) is in line with its historical norms (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.33 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXPO is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $90.33 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$71.42 -
$74.83
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($90.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$71.42 -
$74.83
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.77
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.70
Resistance Level
$76.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.98
Wall Street Target
$90.33
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.0 vs 32.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$70.87
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$70.37
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→33)
$71.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.0, Growth: 9.3%)
$93.94
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.3%)
$65.51
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.3%)
$55.68
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.03
Bull Case
$89.50
(+25%)
Analyst growth 10.7%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$81.36
(+13%)
Market implied 10.7%, PE stable at 36.2
Bear Case
$49.97
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.0 to 32.7
Stabilization Target:
$73.49
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXPO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
4930 shares
2025-10-15
Catherine Corrigan
SELL
4905 shares
2025-09-15
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-11
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