FCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCN - FTI Consulting, Inc.
$183.33
4.61 (2.58%)
▲
5d:
+7.04%
30d:
+11.1%
90d:
+7.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
20d
Smart Money Accumulation
FCN is down 6.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-03-20 with 10 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FCN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FCN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$330.22
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$205.04
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCN is currently trading at $183.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.19 to $173.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $181.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $181.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$161.19 -
$173.46
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FCN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($173.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$161.19 -
$173.46
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.91
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$162.99
Resistance Level
$181.31
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.57
Wall Street Target
$173.50
(-5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$180.76
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$178.23
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$175.74
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$183.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 19.3%)
$386.07
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 19.3%)
$310.92
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 19.3%)
$264.28
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.24
Bull Case
$257.43
(+50%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$234.03
(+36%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$118.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$191.45
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-18
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-12
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Advanced FCN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCN price and gamma walls.
