FCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCN - FTI Consulting, Inc.
$173.86
3.52 (2.07%)
▲
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
+5.74%
90d:
-0.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Smart Money Accumulation
FCN is down 6.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-03-20 with 10 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$332.23
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.29
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCN is currently trading at $173.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.02 to $170.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $177.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCN is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $177.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FCN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$161.02 -
$170.23
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$161.02 -
$170.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.54
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.09
Resistance Level
$177.56
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.39
Wall Street Target
$174.00
(+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 17.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$163.70
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$157.31
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$151.18
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$170.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$420.92
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$289.14
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 19.3%)
$245.77
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.24
Bull Case
$257.43
(+50%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$234.03
(+36%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$118.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$192.62
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-27
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-18
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-12
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Advanced FCN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FCN price and gamma walls.
