FDUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDUS - Fidus Investment Corp.
$18.58
-0.10 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
+8.08%
90d:
-3.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When FDUS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.59
Based on 0.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDUS is currently trading at $18.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.46 to $18.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDUS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.30 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.27. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDUS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.30 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$17.46 -
$18.60
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.46 -
$18.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.28
Resistance Level
$19.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$21.30
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Profit Margin
52.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.49
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.40
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$18.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -2.6%)
$37.22
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -2.6%)
$17.28
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -2.6%)
$14.69
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$17.02
(-9%)
Analyst growth -15.8%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$15.48
(-17%)
Market implied -15.8%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$12.51
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.94
(+1.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 12:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:31 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FDUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Asset Management Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
KKR
KKR & Co LP |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$123 | 64 BUY |
|
BLK
BlackRock Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$1254 | 57 HOLD |
|
HASI
Hannon Armstrong Sustain… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$46 | 62 BUY |
|
ARCC
Ares Capital Corporation |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$22 | 65 BUY |
|
BX
Blackstone Group Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$143 | 54 HOLD |
