FDUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDUS - Fidus Investment Corp.
$18.28
-0.33 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
-2.71%
90d:
-0.22%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDUS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDUS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.08
Based on -2.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDUS is currently trading at $18.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.48 to $19.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.50 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.02
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.48 -
$19.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.25
Resistance Level
$19.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.53
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Profit Margin
49.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.39
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.28
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$18.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.9%)
$33.22
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -7.9%)
$14.54
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -7.9%)
$12.36
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$17.89
(-4%)
Analyst growth -13.6%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$16.26
(-13%)
Market implied -13.6%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$12.80
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 9.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.94
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 12:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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