FELE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FELE - Franklin Electric Co Inc
$96.07
-2.23 (-2.27%)
▼
5d:
-3.29%
30d:
-3.08%
90d:
-11.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FELE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FELE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.28
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FELE is currently trading at $96.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.49 to $102.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.25 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FELE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $96.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.25 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.49 -
$102.14
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($113.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.49 -
$102.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.71
Resistance Level
$102.34
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.91
Wall Street Target
$113.25
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.53
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$93.02
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$91.53
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$96.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.8%)
$152.49
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 10.8%)
$130.67
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 10.8%)
$111.07
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.32
Bull Case
$165.45
(+72%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$150.41
(+57%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$66.84
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.9 to 19.9
Stabilization Target:
$101.09
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is FELE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Joseph A Ruzynski
BUY
500 shares
2026-02-19
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