FER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FER - Ferrovial SE Ordinary Shares
$62.16
-0.40 (-0.64%)
▼
5d:
-1.4%
30d:
-16.43%
90d:
-4.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FER is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 15 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FER shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.43
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FER is currently trading at $62.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.91 to $71.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 49.9) compared to its historical average (55.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FER has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.21 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FER is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FER has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.21 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$62.91 -
$71.21
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FER? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($72.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$62.91 -
$71.21
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.30
Resistance Level
$65.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.87
Wall Street Target
$72.21
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.9 vs 55.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.25
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$58.02
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$55.87
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→56)
$62.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.9, Growth: 16.1%)
$97.83
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.1%)
$43.94
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.1%)
$37.35
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 44.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$61.19
(-3%)
Analyst growth -9.7%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$55.63
(-12%)
Market implied -9.7%, PE stable at 44.4
Bear Case
$41.92
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.9 to 55.8
Stabilization Target:
$70.00
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
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Advanced FER Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FER price and gamma walls.
