FIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIG - Figma, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$22.92
2.68 (13.24%) ▲
5d: +10.94%
30d: +12.8%
90d: +1.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FIG Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

FIG is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 12,051 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FIG is 11.0% above its trading range ($20.64). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.83
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.73
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIG is currently trading at $22.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.89 to $20.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 75.5) compared to its historical average (113.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.52, while resistance sits at $23.93. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: FIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.88 (+69.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $17.89 - $20.64
Company Quality Score 67/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.0% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 69.6% below Wall St target ($38.88)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.89 - $20.64
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.52
Resistance Level $23.93
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 75.49
Wall Street Target $38.88 (+69.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 40.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -51.2%
Profit Margin -118.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 75.5 vs 113.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.63 (-10%)
2-Year Target $18.57 (-19%)
3-Year Target $16.71 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 75→114) $25.14 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 75.5, Growth: 10.8%) $31.18 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.8%) $9.12 (-60%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 10.8%) $7.75 (-66%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 75.5 to 113.6
Stabilization Target: $34.49 (+50.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.5%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brendan Mulligan SELL 4817 shares 2026-03-16
Brendan Mulligan SELL 4817 shares 2026-03-03
Kris Rasmussen SELL 179331 shares 2026-03-03

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