FN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FN - Fabrinet
$499.61
-47.57 (-8.69%)
▼
5d:
-12.01%
30d:
-28.74%
90d:
-6.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$840.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$521.99
4.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FN is currently trading at $499.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $579.37 to $688.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 28.9) compared to its historical average (35.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $489.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $749.11 (+49.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $489.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: FN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $749.11 (+49.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$579.37 -
$688.34
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.9% below Wall St target ($749.11)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$579.37 -
$688.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$489.28
Resistance Level
$625.14
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.93
Wall Street Target
$749.11
(+49.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 35.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$466.64
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$435.84
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$407.07
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→36)
$499.47
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 25.1%)
$977.57
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.1%)
$735.89
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 25.1%)
$625.50
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.65
Bull Case
$892.14
(+79%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 51.7
Base Case
$811.04
(+62%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 47.0
Bear Case
$372.08
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.9 to 35.5
Stabilization Target:
$613.01
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-27
Josh Gottheimer
BUY
2026-03-24
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