FORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FORM - FormFactor Inc.
$100.91
3.92 (4.04%)
▲
5d:
-6.63%
30d:
+8.76%
90d:
+76.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Distribution
FORM is up 5.5% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $50 2026-04-17 with 1,257 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FORM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FORM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.31
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.04
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FORM is currently trading at $100.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.78 to $101.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 45.2) is in line with its historical norms (41.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.00, while resistance sits at $110.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $84.11. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FORM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.00, while resistance sits at $110.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $84.11. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$89.78 -
$101.26
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FORM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.6% above Wall St target ($84.11)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$89.78 -
$101.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.00
Resistance Level
$110.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.23
Wall Street Target
$84.11
(-16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
131.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
45.2 vs 41.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.84
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$106.85
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$109.95
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 45→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$100.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.2, Growth: 20.3%)
$175.74
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.3%)
$86.84
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.3%)
$73.82
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (45x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.04
Bull Case
$117.37
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$97.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$74.36
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FORM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
10227 shares
2026-03-18
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3462 shares
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2300 shares
2026-02-24
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