FR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
$62.40
0.79 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
-1.17%
30d:
+3.91%
90d:
+6.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.08
Based on -4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FR is currently trading at $62.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.11 to $63.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.5) is in line with its historical norms (32.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.11, while resistance sits at $64.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.11, while resistance sits at $64.63.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$61.11 -
$63.46
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.11 -
$63.46
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.11
Resistance Level
$64.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.54
Wall Street Target
$67.88
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
199.7%
Profit Margin
46.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
33.5 vs 32.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.84
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$63.28
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$63.72
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.5, Growth: -13.5%)
$45.49
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -13.5%)
$29.54
(-53%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -13.5%)
$25.11
(-60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$48.67
(-22%)
Analyst growth -28.2%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$44.25
(-29%)
Market implied -28.2%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$41.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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