FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$94.81
4.42 (4.89%)
▲
5d:
+20.32%
30d:
+7.68%
90d:
+95.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FROG is 7.6% above its trading range ($88.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FROG is 7.6% above its trading range ($88.08). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.26
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.72
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $94.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.46 to $88.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 84.8) compared to its historical average (57.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $84.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $84.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$76.46 -
$88.08
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
FROG is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.7% above Wall St target ($84.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.9% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.46 -
$88.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.34
Resistance Level
$89.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
84.80
Wall Street Target
$84.67
(-10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
-10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.9% premium
PE vs Historical
84.8 vs 57.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.99
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$123.00
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$140.10
(+48%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 85→57)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 84.8, Growth: 17.4%)
$153.26
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.4%)
$39.37
(-59%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.4%)
$33.46
(-65%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-07
Frederic Simon
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-02
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