FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$67.07
0.91 (1.38%) ▲
5d: -2.81%
30d: +52.02%
90d: +41.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FROG Gains
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

FROG is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 3,796 OI. Call ratio: 91% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FROG is 9.1% above its trading range ($61.50). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.74
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.02
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $67.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.64 to $61.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 59.0) compared to its historical average (53.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.62, while resistance sits at $72.06.

Market Sentiment: FROG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.45 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.64 - $61.50
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

FROG is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($79.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.64 - $61.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.62
Resistance Level $72.06
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 58.95
Wall Street Target $79.45 (+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.2%
Profit Margin -13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.3% premium
PE vs Historical 59.0 vs 53.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.34 (+3%)
2-Year Target $70.60 (+7%)
3-Year Target $72.93 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 59→53) PE COMPRESSION $66.06 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 59.0, Growth: 17.7%) $107.78 (+63%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.7%) $40.35 (-39%)
Bear: (PE: 18.8, Growth: 17.7%) $34.30 (-48%)
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07
Frederic Simon SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced FROG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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