FRSH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FRSH - Freshworks Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$10.66
-0.12 (-1.11%) ▼
5d: -11.57%
30d: -12.98%
90d: -2.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 6d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FRSH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.52
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.26
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FRSH is currently trading at $10.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FRSH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: FRSH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.21 (+70.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $11.11 - $12.15
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 70.9% below Wall St target ($18.21)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.6%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.11 - $12.15
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.46
Resistance Level $12.27
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.43
Wall Street Target $18.21 (+70.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.3%
Profit Margin -3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 17.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.22 (-4%)
2-Year Target $9.80 (-8%)
3-Year Target $9.40 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→18) $10.67 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.9%) $19.89 (+87%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 8.9%) $13.76 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 8.9%) $11.70 (+10%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.5
Stabilization Target: $12.09 (+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.4%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philippa Lawrence SELL 866 shares 2025-10-06
Philippa Lawrence SELL 2590 shares 2025-09-15
Jennifer H Taylor SELL 4685 shares 2025-09-11

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