FRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRT - Federal Realty Investment Trust
$100.36
0.03 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
-1.1%
30d:
+1.34%
90d:
+4.34%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.37
Based on -3.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRT is currently trading at $100.36, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.57 to $102.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.8) is in line with its historical norms (31.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.34 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $99.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.34 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$100.57 -
$102.54
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($112.34)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$100.57 -
$102.54
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$99.29
Resistance Level
$103.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.77
Wall Street Target
$112.34
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
27.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.8 vs 31.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.26
(0%)
2-Year Target
$100.16
(0%)
3-Year Target
$100.06
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→32)
$100.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.8, Growth: -10.0%)
$73.16
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -10.0%)
$51.35
(-49%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -10.0%)
$43.64
(-57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.94
Bull Case
$88.47
(-12%)
Analyst growth -19.8%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$80.43
(-20%)
Market implied -19.8%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$68.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.8 to 31.8
Stabilization Target:
$100.44
(+0.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.1%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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