FRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRT - Federal Realty Investment Trust
$106.79
0.73 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
+2.98%
30d:
-3.09%
90d:
+5.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
FRT is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $110 2026-05-15 with 156 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.42
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRT is currently trading at $106.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $104.03 to $108.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.6) is in line with its historical norms (32.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $107.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $107.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$104.03 -
$108.52
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($115.58)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$104.03 -
$108.52
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.32
(2.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.24
Resistance Level
$107.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.56
Wall Street Target
$115.58
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
98.7%
Profit Margin
32.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.6 vs 32.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.07
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$109.37
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$110.68
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→32)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$139.05
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$85.22
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 9.2%)
$72.44
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.68
Bull Case
$76.11
(-27%)
Analyst growth -32.9%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$69.19
(-33%)
Market implied -32.9%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$70.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 06, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FRT price and gamma walls.
