FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLY - Fastly, Inc.
$18.13
-0.43 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
+11.81%
30d:
-12.71%
90d:
-43.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSLY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSLY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.80
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $18.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.96 to $19.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.0) compared to its historical average (63.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.60, while resistance sits at $22.05.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.11 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.96 -
$19.31
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($24.11)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.96 -
$19.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.60
Resistance Level
$22.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.96
Wall Street Target
$24.11
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.0 vs 63.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.69
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.22
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→64)
$18.35
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.0, Growth: 21.4%)
$32.46
(+79%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$15.38
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 21.4%)
$13.07
(-28%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.0 to 63.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.17
(+38.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
7059 shares
2026-04-17
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
22474 shares
2026-04-16
Scott R Lovett
SELL
41682 shares
2026-03-18
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.
