FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLY - Fastly, Inc.
$17.00
-0.68 (-3.85%)
▼
5d:
-17.11%
30d:
-31.67%
90d:
-6.9%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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2 traders called FSLY this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSLY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSLY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $17.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.43 to $29.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.0) compared to its historical average (69.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.25 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSLY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.25 (+42.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.43 -
$29.28
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSLY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($24.25)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-17.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.43 -
$29.28
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.02
Resistance Level
$32.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.98
Wall Street Target
$24.25
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.0 vs 69.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.77
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.39
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→69)
$19.92
(+17%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.0, Growth: 25.2%)
$33.39
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 25.2%)
$17.15
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 25.2%)
$14.57
(-14%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.0 to 69.1
Stabilization Target:
$27.33
(+60.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+60.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
7059 shares
2026-04-17
Charles Lacey Compton III
SELL
22474 shares
2026-04-16
Scott R Lovett
SELL
41682 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced FSLY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.
