GEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GEL - Genesis Energy, L.P.
$14.20
0.13 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+1.28%
30d:
-8.68%
90d:
-18.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GEL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GEL is currently trading at $14.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.18 to $15.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.3) compared to its historical average (23.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 26.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.33 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.18 -
$15.42
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($19.33)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 26.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.18 -
$15.42
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.92
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.33
Wall Street Target
$19.33
(+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.6%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+26.3% premium
PE vs Historical
47.3 vs 23.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+26.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.93
(+26%)
2-Year Target
$22.65
(+60%)
3-Year Target
$28.61
(+102%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.3, Growth: 400.0%)
$47.92
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 400.0%)
$22.05
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 400.0%)
$18.74
(+32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 3:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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