GENI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GENI - Genius Sports Limited
$8.70
-0.55 (-5.95%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When GENI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called GENI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GENI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GENI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.65
31.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GENI is currently trading at $8.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.56 to $10.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (24.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: GENI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.58 (+68.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: GENI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.58 (+68.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.56 -
$10.91
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GENI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.4% below Wall St target ($15.58)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.56 -
$10.91
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.64
Resistance Level
$10.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.02
Wall Street Target
$15.58
(+68.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Profit Margin
-19.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 24.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.88
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$8.52
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$8.18
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$9.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.0%)
$25.70
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 40.0%)
$25.38
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 40.0%)
$21.57
(+133%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 24.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.46
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GENI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Internet Content & Information Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Internet Content & Information by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
META
Meta Platforms Inc. |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$833 | 69 BUY |
|
TME
Tencent Music Entertainm… |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$27 | 55 HOLD |
|
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc Class A |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$343 | 66 BUY |
|
GOOG
Alphabet Inc Class C |
STRONG BUY
68 analysts |
$337 | 65 BUY |
|
BILI
Bilibili Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$31 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced GENI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GENI price and gamma walls.
