GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$71.03
-2.81 (-3.81%)
▼
5d:
-4.17%
30d:
+40.96%
90d:
+44.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
GFS is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-07-17 with 7,264 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.2/10
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2 traders called GFS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFS trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GFS trades at premium valuation expecting 10.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $71.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.60 to $70.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.6) compared to its historical average (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.82, while resistance sits at $76.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.95 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.82, while resistance sits at $76.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.95 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.60 -
$70.99
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.95)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.60 -
$70.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.82
Resistance Level
$76.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.65
Wall Street Target
$78.95
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.5%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
28.7 vs 21.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.20
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$86.10
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$94.80
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$71.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.7, Growth: 31.5%)
$161.36
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 31.5%)
$124.29
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 31.5%)
$105.64
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$139.44
(+96%)
Analyst growth 78.3%, PE expands to 56.3
Base Case
$126.77
(+79%)
Market implied 78.3%, PE stable at 51.1
Bear Case
$48.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Glenda Dorchak
SELL
4000 shares
2026-04-20
Michael James Hogan
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-20
Samak L Azar
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-16
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