GILT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GILT - Gilat Satellite Networks Ltd

Radio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment
$15.57
0.55 (3.66%) β–²
5d: -10.47%
30d: -7.87%
90d: +19.13%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 18, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

GILT is down 8.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-06-18 with 2,458 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GILT is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.74
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.81
31.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GILT is currently trading at $15.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.50 to $17.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (24.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GILT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.19, while resistance sits at $18.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: GILT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+22.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $15.50 - $17.29
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 69.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($19.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $15.50 - $17.29
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.50 (9.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $14.19
Resistance Level $18.17
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.13
Wall Street Target $19.00 (+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 75.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -40.0%
Profit Margin 4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.1 vs 24.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.60 (-6%)
2-Year Target $13.70 (-12%)
3-Year Target $12.85 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20β†’24) $15.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 54.7%) $58.33 (+275%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 54.7%) $52.55 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 54.7%) $44.67 (+187%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.34
Bull Case $35.75 (+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 52.6
Base Case $32.50 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.8
Bear Case $11.05 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 24.4
Stabilization Target: $18.87 (+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +21.2%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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