GLDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLDD - Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
$16.98
0.01 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
+0.15%
90d:
+27.25%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLDD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLDD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.99
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.51
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLDD is currently trading at $16.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.91 to $16.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$16.91 -
$16.97
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($17.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 26.5% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.91 -
$16.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.93
Resistance Level
$16.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.40
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.9%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.02
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.07
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$17.12
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.99
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$40.33
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$24.13
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$20.51
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$21.85
(+29%)
Analyst growth 17.2%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$19.86
(+17%)
Market implied 17.2%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$11.52
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 2:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Johanson
SELL
2100 shares
2025-12-10
David Johanson
SELL
10000 shares
2025-12-03
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