GLDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLDD - Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation
$14.98
-0.29 (-1.90%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
16d
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1 traders called GLDD this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLDD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GLDD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.66
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLDD is currently trading at $14.98, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.21 to $15.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.35, while resistance sits at $16.72.
Market Sentiment: GLDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLDD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.35, while resistance sits at $16.72.
Market Sentiment: GLDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$13.21 -
$15.04
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.21 -
$15.04
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.72
(4.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.35
Resistance Level
$16.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.75
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.79
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.33
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$16.88
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.23
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 99.1%)
$25.52
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 99.1%)
$15.73
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 99.1%)
$13.37
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case
$15.73
(+5%)
Analyst growth -6.6%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$14.30
(-5%)
Market implied -6.6%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$10.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GLDD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GLDD price and gamma walls.
