GNRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNRC - GENERAC HOLDINGS INC
$263.68
-12.81 (-4.63%)
▼
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
+27.13%
90d:
+17.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
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2 traders called GNRC this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$418.67
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$259.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNRC is currently trading at $263.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.04 to $264.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $252.59, while resistance sits at $276.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNRC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $252.59, while resistance sits at $276.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNRC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$211.04 -
$264.60
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($272.40)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$211.04 -
$264.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.21
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$252.59
Resistance Level
$276.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.89
Wall Street Target
$272.40
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.9%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 20.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$278.18
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$293.48
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$309.62
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$264.43
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 22.8%)
$488.31
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 22.8%)
$451.17
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 22.8%)
$383.50
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 31.35 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.41
Bull Case
$318.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.9
Base Case
$263.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$201.72
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
York A Ragen
SELL
24362 shares
2026-02-25
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Advanced GNRC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GNRC price and gamma walls.
