GOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GOOD - Gladstone Commercial Corporation - REIT

LESSORS OF REAL PROPERTY, NEC
$11.65
0.13 (1.13%) β–²
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š MIXED SIGNALS: GOOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GOOD is currently trading at $11.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.79 to $11.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 77.7) is in line with its historical norms (74.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $10.79 - $11.56
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 100th percentile (EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 40.0%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($12.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 4.1% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.79 - $11.56
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.52 (13.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.21
Resistance Level $11.74
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 77.67
Wall Street Target $12.50 (+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.4%
Profit Margin 13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 77.7 vs 74.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.84 (+2%)
2-Year Target $12.03 (+3%)
3-Year Target $12.22 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 78β†’74) PE COMPRESSION $11.66 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 77.7, Growth: 32.4%) $27.03 (+132%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.4%) $7.76 (-33%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.4%) $6.60 (-43%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 59.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case $9.78 (-16%)
Analyst growth -21.1%, PE expands to 65.2
Base Case $8.89 (-24%)
Market implied -21.1%, PE stable at 59.3
Bear Case $7.66 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GOOD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GOOD price and gamma walls.

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More Analysis for GOOD

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