GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$9.67
0.08 (0.89%)
▲
5d:
-2.37%
30d:
+9.58%
90d:
+19.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.9% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -14.9% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.22
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.52
44.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.00 to $9.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (6.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.90, while resistance sits at $10.00.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.98 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.90, while resistance sits at $10.00.
Market Sentiment: GPRK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.98 (+25.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.00 -
$9.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($11.98)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.00 -
$9.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.90
Resistance Level
$10.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.79
Wall Street Target
$11.98
(+25.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.8 vs 6.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.62
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.76
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$11.42
(+19%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 21.3%)
$99.61
(+940%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.8, Growth: 21.3%)
$17.11
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.2, Growth: 21.3%)
$14.54
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$21.41
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$19.46
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$6.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 6.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.67
(+63.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+63.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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