GPRK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPRK - GEOPARK LIMITED
$9.07
0.02 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.55%
30d:
-23.01%
90d:
+3.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -15.0% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GPRK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -15.0% annual earnings decline despite 44% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.01
49.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPRK is currently trading at $9.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.39 to $10.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.5) compared to its historical average (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.47 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.47 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.39 -
$10.99
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.39 -
$10.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.54
Resistance Level
$11.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.47
Wall Street Target
$10.48
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.0%
Profit Margin
11.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.5 vs 5.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.35
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.61
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→6)
$10.86
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 138.6%)
$192.04
(+2017%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.5, Growth: 138.6%)
$30.61
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.0, Growth: 138.6%)
$26.02
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$19.91
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$18.10
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$6.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.5 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.89
(+64.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Franklin Park
SELL
100000 shares
2026-04-20
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