GRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GRC - The Gorman-Rupp Company Common Shares

PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT
$62.64
-2.28 (-3.51%) ā–¼
5d: -3.08%
30d: +10.05%
90d: +36.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ’” BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.34
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.23
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GRC is currently trading at $62.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.16 to $67.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $57.16 - $67.04
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $57.16 - $67.04
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.40 (5.4%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $61.13
Resistance Level $67.20
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 5, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.07
Wall Street Target $67.50 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.8%
Profit Margin 7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 25.1 vs 23.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $66.61 (+3%)
2-Year Target $68.34 (+5%)
3-Year Target $70.12 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→23) PE COMPRESSION $64.90 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.1, Growth: 11.6%) $90.33 (+39%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: 11.6%) $81.41 (+25%)
Bear: (PE: 19.2, Growth: 11.6%) $69.19 (+7%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.02
Bull Case $91.15 (+42%)
Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 35.2
Base Case $82.87 (+29%)
Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case $43.95 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GRC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRC price and gamma walls.

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