GRPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRPN - Groupon, Inc.Common Stock
$14.15
-0.61 (-4.13%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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1 traders called GRPN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GRPN is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GRPN is down 12.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.86
20.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRPN is currently trading at $14.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.05 to $17.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 109.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+149.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRPN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.98. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.33 (+149.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$16.05 -
$17.50
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GRPN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 149.7% below Wall St target ($35.33)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.05 -
$17.50
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.99
Resistance Level
$16.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.57
Wall Street Target
$35.33
(+149.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
109.2%
Profit Margin
-28.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.97
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.78
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$13.61
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$14.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 450.0%)
$140.74
(+895%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: 450.0%)
$47.76
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 450.0%)
$40.59
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$14.77
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GRPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRPN price and gamma walls.
