GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$31.80
-0.03 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
-1.58%
30d:
-4.01%
90d:
+16.36%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GTY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.15
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.31
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $31.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.14 to $33.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$32.14 -
$33.38
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.71)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.14 -
$33.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.69
(2.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.59
Resistance Level
$33.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.22
Wall Street Target
$33.71
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Profit Margin
35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$32.47
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$32.79
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.83
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.7%)
$39.64
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 5.7%)
$37.64
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$31.99
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$39.20
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.1%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$35.64
(+11%)
Market implied 11.1%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$21.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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