GTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTY - Getty Realty Corp.
$29.86
0.60 (2.05%)
▲
5d:
+2.51%
30d:
+9.26%
90d:
+7.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTY is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GTY is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.63
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTY is currently trading at $29.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.82 to $29.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$27.82 -
$29.63
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.82 -
$29.63
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.57
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.72
Resistance Level
$30.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.15
Wall Street Target
$31.88
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.3%
Profit Margin
34.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.46
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$31.07
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$31.69
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.3%)
$42.25
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 10.3%)
$40.08
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 10.3%)
$34.07
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$34.94
(+17%)
Analyst growth 10.3%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$31.76
(+6%)
Market implied 10.3%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$19.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 11:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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