HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$38.16
0.37 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
+0.74%
30d:
-0.08%
90d:
+0.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HESM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HESM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.06
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $38.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.32 to $38.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.32 -
$38.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($36.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.32 -
$38.72
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.42
Resistance Level
$39.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.01
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.20
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$38.24
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$38.27
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$88.09
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$52.61
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$44.72
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$42.20
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.5%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$38.36
(+1%)
Market implied 1.5%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$25.70
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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