HESM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HESM - Hess Midstream LP Class A Share representing a limited partner Interest
$39.90
0.67 (1.71%)
▲
5d:
+4.53%
30d:
+5.61%
90d:
+8.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HESM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.63
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HESM is currently trading at $39.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.57 to $39.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HESM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HESM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.57 -
$39.28
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($36.83)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.57 -
$39.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.72
Resistance Level
$39.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.66
Wall Street Target
$36.83
(-7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$41.35
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$42.09
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$97.03
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$60.03
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$51.03
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.89
Bull Case
$43.96
(+10%)
Analyst growth 1.1%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$39.97
(+0%)
Market implied 1.1%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$26.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HESM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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