HFFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HFFG - HF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock
$1.81
0.08 (4.62%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
-13.4%
90d:
-19.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HFFG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.1% annual earnings decline despite 6111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HFFG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.1% annual earnings decline despite 6111% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.83
36.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HFFG is currently trading at $1.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.71 to $2.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.0) compared to its historical average (3.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6110.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.70, while resistance sits at $2.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+259.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.70, while resistance sits at $2.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.50 (+259.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$1.71 -
$2.07
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 259.1% below Wall St target ($6.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.71 -
$2.07
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.70
Resistance Level
$2.09
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.02
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+259.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6110.9%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.0 vs 3.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.66
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$1.53
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$1.40
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$1.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 71.4%)
$45.26
(+2401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.0, Growth: 71.4%)
$6.11
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.6, Growth: 71.4%)
$5.19
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.0 to 3.9
Stabilization Target:
$2.34
(+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HFFG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christine Chang
BUY
4000 shares
2026-03-18
Paul E Mcgarry
BUY
2500 shares
2026-03-18
Xi Lin
BUY
8367 shares
2026-03-18
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