HFFG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HFFG - HF Foods Group Inc. Common Stock

WHOLESALE-GROCERIES & RELATED PRODUCTS
$1.91
-0.03 (-1.55%) ▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HFFG is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.83
32.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HFFG is currently trading at $1.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.07 to $2.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6110.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HFFG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $1.85, while resistance sits at $2.23.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+260.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $2.07 - $2.24
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 260.8% below Wall St target ($7.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.07 - $2.24
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $1.85
Resistance Level $2.23
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.73
Wall Street Target $7.00 (+260.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6110.9%
Profit Margin -3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.7 vs 4.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $1.83 (-6%)
2-Year Target $1.72 (-12%)
3-Year Target $1.62 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→5) $1.95 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.5%) $32.19 (+1559%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: 40.5%) $5.39 (+178%)
Bear: (PE: 3.2, Growth: 40.5%) $4.58 (+136%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 4.5
Stabilization Target: $2.34 (+20.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Christine Chang BUY 1390 shares 2025-08-12
Xi Lin BUY 3080 shares 2025-08-12

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Advanced HFFG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HFFG price and gamma walls.

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