HLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$13.03
0.03 (0.23%)
▲
5d:
-10.08%
30d:
-22.85%
90d:
-18.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
HLF is down 12.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 35 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When HLF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLF is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLF is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.35
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.61
26.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $13.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.49 to $16.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+38.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.49 -
$16.80
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLF? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.1% below Wall St target ($18.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.49 -
$16.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.85
Resistance Level
$16.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.16
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+38.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.00
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$11.05
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$10.18
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$12.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 18.8%)
$115.84
(+789%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 18.8%)
$21.84
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 18.8%)
$18.57
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$19.67
(+51%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case
$17.88
(+37%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case
$8.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.3
Stabilization Target:
$16.62
(+27.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Sophie L'helias
BUY
800 shares
2025-12-01
Sophie L'helias
BUY
400 shares
2025-11-26
Lynda Cloud
BUY
17000 shares
2025-11-18
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$83 | 55 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$76 | 60 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$16 | 54 HOLD |
|
CPB
Campbell’s Co |
SELL
23 analysts |
$24 | 65 BUY |
|
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$117 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced HLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLF price and gamma walls.
