HLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$13.11
0.12 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+9.52%
30d:
+9.34%
90d:
-8.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
Get Alerted When HLF Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HLF shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.31
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.96
22.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $13.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.53 to $12.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HLF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.33 (+39.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.54
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($18.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.53 -
$12.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.18
Resistance Level
$12.72
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.16
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.35
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$10.96
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$13.18
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.5%)
$117.08
(+793%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: 19.5%)
$22.35
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.5, Growth: 19.5%)
$19.00
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$19.76
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 6.3
Base Case
$17.97
(+37%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 5.7
Bear Case
$8.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.0
Stabilization Target:
$15.77
(+20.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$82 | 56 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$14 | 56 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$75 | 58 HOLD |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$13 | 62 BUY |
|
GIS
General Mills Inc |
SELL
23 analysts |
$37 | 64 BUY |
Advanced HLF Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLF price and gamma walls.
