HLIO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIO - Helios Technologies, Inc.
$77.03
-1.14 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
+12.91%
30d:
+15.11%
90d:
+1.82%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HLIO is 9.1% above its trading range ($70.61). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: HLIO is 9.1% above its trading range ($70.61). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.64
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIO is currently trading at $77.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.66 to $70.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.5) compared to its historical average (22.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.13, while resistance sits at $80.00.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.13, while resistance sits at $80.00.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$66.66 -
$70.61
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($80.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.66 -
$70.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.13
Resistance Level
$80.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.51
Wall Street Target
$80.67
(+4.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
169.1%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.5 vs 22.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.65
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$82.36
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$85.16
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.5, Growth: 13.6%)
$113.04
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$101.79
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 13.6%)
$86.52
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case
$148.49
(+93%)
Analyst growth 72.7%, PE expands to 47.3
Base Case
$134.99
(+75%)
Market implied 72.7%, PE stable at 43.0
Bear Case
$53.16
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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