HLIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIT - Harmonic Inc
$9.20
0.12 (1.32%)
▲
5d:
-2.13%
30d:
-9.98%
90d:
-6.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When HLIT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLIT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HLIT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.19
39.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIT is currently trading at $9.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.18 to $10.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.46, while resistance sits at $9.67.
Market Sentiment: HLIT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.71 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.46, while resistance sits at $9.67.
Market Sentiment: HLIT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.71 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.18 -
$10.38
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($12.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.18 -
$10.38
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.47
Resistance Level
$9.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.67
Wall Street Target
$12.71
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-55.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.3%
Profit Margin
-12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.49
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.75
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→17)
$9.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.9%)
$31.97
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 28.9%)
$19.70
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 28.9%)
$16.74
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 18.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.49
Bull Case
$11.18
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$9.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$7.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$12.56
(+36.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HLIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Neven Haltmayer
SELL
23835 shares
2025-12-15
Neven Haltmayer
SELL
6165 shares
2025-12-12
David Krall
BUY
47528 shares
2025-12-11
Top Rated Communication Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Communication Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CSCO
Cisco Systems Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$89 | 59 HOLD |
|
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$673 | 59 HOLD |
|
CIEN
Ciena Corp |
BUY
16 analysts |
$329 | 61 BUY |
|
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies Corpo… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$336 | 57 HOLD |
|
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$502 | 58 HOLD |
