HPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
$21.52
-0.49 (-2.23%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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1 traders called HPE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.38
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.45
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPE is currently trading at $21.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.31 to $23.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.44 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.44 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$21.31 -
$23.98
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($26.44)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$21.31 -
$23.98
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.08
Resistance Level
$22.01
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.02
Wall Street Target
$26.44
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.9%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.28
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$20.58
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$19.90
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$22.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.2%)
$95.94
(+336%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 16.2%)
$34.49
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$29.32
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.43
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maeve C Culloty
SELL
3738 shares
2025-09-23
Gary M Reiner
SELL
40000 shares
2025-09-15
Antonio F Neri
SELL
166666 shares
2025-09-12
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